Wararka Crypto Maanta: Democrats oo ku guuleystay Senate-ka, prediction markets oo mashquulay iyo Kraken oo xaddiday accounts la xiriira xatooyo

4 Nofeembar 2026

Democrats ayaa ku guuleystay aqlabiyadda Senate-ka Maraykanka, taas oo saamayn ku yeelan karta sharciyada crypto iyo hoggaanka guddiyada kormeera suuqa.

Dhanka kale, trading volume-ka contracts-ka doorashada ee Kalshi iyo Polymarket ayaa gaaray heerkii ugu sarreeyay ee doorasho midterm ah. Kraken-na waxay xaddiday accounts lala xiriiriyay xatooyo crypto oo looga shakisan yahay in ka badan $133 million, iyadoo sheegtay in dhacdadu aysan ka bilaaban platform-keeda.

Democrats oo la wareegaya hoggaanka Senate-ka

Democrats ayaa ku guuleystay Senate-ka kadib markii ay Republicans kala wareegeen kuraas muhiim ah oo ku yaalla Texas, Ohio, North Carolina, South Carolina, Kansas iyo Iowa.

Guusha Josh Turek ee tartankii Senate-ka Iowa ayaa Democrats iyo xubnaha independent-ka ah ee la shaqeeya gaarsiisay 51 kursi, sida lagu sheegay warbixinta Associated Press.

Isbeddelkan wuxuu saamayn karaa mustaqbalka CLARITY Act, oo ah bill-ka loogu talagalay inuu caddeeyo qaabka loo maamulayo suuqa crypto ee Maraykanka, balse horumarkiisu hakad galay.

Aqlabiyadda cusub waxay sidoo kale go’aamin doontaa lawmakers-ka hoggaaminaya guddiyada kormeera adeegyada maaliyadeed iyo crypto.

Waxaa suuragal ah in Democrats ay kordhiyaan baaritaannada ganacsiyada crypto ee lala xiriiriyo Trump iyo go’aamada hay’adaha regulatory-ga. Senate-ku wuxuu sidoo kale door ku leeyahay ansixinta dadka uu madaxweynuhu u magacaabo xilalka muhiimka ah ee hay’adahaas.

Natiijada doorashadu keligeed ma caddaynayso halka sharciyada crypto u dhaqaaqayaan. Waxa xiga waxay ku xirnaan doonaan bills-ka la soo hormariyo iyo heshiisyada lawmakers-ka.

Prediction markets oo diiwaangeliyay trading volume sare

Doorashadan midterm-ka ayaa dhaqdhaqaaq weyn ka abuurtay Kalshi iyo Polymarket, halkaas oo traders-ku ka ganacsanayeen contracts ku saabsan natiijooyinka doorashada.

Sida lagu sheegay falanqayn ay samaysay The Washington Post, ku dhowaad $1.9 billion oo election-related contracts ah ayaa labada platform laga trade-gareeyay ilaa Isniintii. Tani waxay ahayd heerkii ugu sarreeyay ee laga diiwaangeliyo doorasho midterm ah.

Tiradani waa trading volume, mana aha lacag cusub oo intaas le’eg oo hal mar lagu shubay platforms-ka.

Talaadadii, ka hor inta aan natiijooyinka la shaacin, Kalshi waxay fursadda Democrats ay labada aqal ku heli karaan ku qiimaysay qiyaastii 75%, halka Polymarket ay ahayd 75.5%.

Marka House-ka keliya la eegayay, fursadda Democrats waxaa lagu qiimeeyay 93% Kalshi iyo 94.5% Polymarket. Kuwani waxay ahaayeen saadaalihii suuqa waqtigaas, ee ma ahayn natiijooyin la xaqiijiyay.

Saadaal sare ma aha dammaanad guul

Doorashadii madaxtinimada Brazil ayaa dhowaan muujisay in qofka prediction markets-ku ugu fursad badan yahay uusan mar kasta guuleysan.

Flávio Bolsonaro waxaa maalin ka hor doorashada lagu qiimeeyay qiyaastii 80% fursad guul, balse Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ayaa ku guuleystay runoff-ka.

Tarek Mansour, oo ah CEO-ga Kalshi, ayaa xusay in xitaa natiijo la siiyay 5% fursad ay dhici karto. Probability-gu wuxuu cabbiraa filashada suuqa; ma baabi’iyo suuragalnimada natiijo kale.

Kraken oo xaddiday accounts lala xiriiriyay xatooyo ka badan $133 million

Kraken ayaa sheegtay inay xaddiday accounts lala xiriiriyay crypto la tuhunsan yahay in laga xaday hay’ad ama shirkad ku taalla Midowga Yurub, oo aan magaceeda la shaacin.

Exchange-ku wuxuu caddeeyay in dhacdadu aysan ka bilaaban Kraken. Waxa ay baarayso waa warbixinno sheegaya in qayb ka mid ah assets-ka markii dambe lagu soo marsiiyay accounts ku yaalla platform-keeda.

Kraken waxay sheegtay inay la shaqaynayso hay’adaha amniga si loo taageero dadaallada dib loogu soo celinayo lacagta.

Blockchain investigator ZachXBT ayaa Talaadadii sheegay inuu aqoonsaday $27 million oo withdrawals dheeraad ah oo ka yimid centralized exchanges. Taasi waxay khasaaraha la tuhunsan yahay ka kordhisay qiyaastii $106 million oo uu Isniintii sheegay ilaa in ka badan $133 million.

Wuxuu sidoo kale sheegay in qaar ka mid ah withdrawals-ka ay dhaceen kadib markii uu markii hore arrinta shaaciyay.

Lacagta oo laga saaray exchanges kala duwan

Bitquery ayaa sheegtay in lacagta la tuhunsan yahay in la xaday laga saaray accounts ku yaalla Kraken, Crypto.com iyo OKX.

Baaritaankeeda waxay sidoo kale ku sheegtay in $62.98 million oo stablecoins ah loo beddelay 27,553 ETH muddo ku dhow afar saacadood.

Crypto.com waxay sheegtay inay qaaday tallaabooyin looga hortagayo in lacagta dhacdadan la xiriirta lagu sii marsiiyo platform-keeda. OKX-na waxay sheegtay inay arrinta eegayso.

Baaritaanku weli wuu socdaa. Lama shaacin magaca hay’adda ay lacagtu ka maqan tahay, mana habboona in dhacdadan loo fahmo in dhammaan exchanges-ka la magacaabay la jabsaday.